A study by a Washington think tank has concluded that as opinions have shifted in recent years, legislators who support gay marriage stand better chances of being reelected than those who do not.
According to analysis by Third Way, out of 196 politicians who voted in favor of same-sex marriage in either New York or Washington, 191 kept their jobs -- that’s a 97 percent reelection rate for both Republican and Democrats.
The organization points out that usually 10 percent of incumbents lose reelection, however, the change in views in the last few years proves those who support equality stand a slight advantage over those who oppose it.
“The politics of marriage for gay couples is changing rapidly, and support for marriage is growing every day,” the report states.
“Supporting marriage for gay couples should no longer be considered a political risk for Democrats—even those in moderate districts ... For Republicans, the issue may still play a small role in primary campaigns, but at least 85% of Republican legislators who voted for marriage since the 2010 election did not lose their seat because of it.”
The report is meant in part to refute a contention by the anti-gay National Organization for Marriage, whose president, Brian Brown, argued that “if you are a Republican and you vote for gay marriage, this is a career-ending move.”
Third Way asserts that marriage equality is not among the factors associated with those politicians who lost office in 2012, both Republicans and Democrats.
READ: The full report from Third Way, below.